Week 11 of the 2025 college football season jumps in with two lively Mid-American Conference (MAC) matchups. MACtion’s been a Tuesday night staple since ’99, and honestly, it just feels right.
This week, Akron hosts UMass, and Ohio squares off with Miami (OH) in a classic in-state rivalry. The latest odds? Akron’s a 9.5-point home favorite. Ohio’s favored by just 2.5 points.
With the over/under set at 49.5, there’s plenty for bettors to chew on. Let’s dig into the top picks and betting angles for these games.
Key Matchups and Betting Insights
Both games kick off at 7 p.m. ET. Should be a fun night for MAC fans and, well, anyone who likes a little midweek football chaos.
Here’s a closer look at what’s on tap.
Akron vs. UMass
Akron’s laying 9.5 points at home against the winless UMass Minutemen. Akron’s had its issues, but UMass has had it even rougher this season.
That said, UMass actually beat Akron the last time they met in 2019. Maybe that’s a little spark for the Minutemen?
The betting model gives UMass a 35% win chance—quite a bit higher than the implied 25.3%. If you’re feeling bold, UMass on the money line sits at +301.
- Akron favored by 9.5 points
- UMass money line at +301
- UMass has a 35% win probability according to the model
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
Ohio’s a slim 2.5-point favorite over Miami (OH). This one matters in the MAC standings—Miami (OH) is undefeated in league play at 4-0.
Ohio’s in the mix too, with just one conference loss. Miami (OH) has been rolling in MACtion, going 18-2 since the start of 2023.
Here’s a twist: the total’s gone over in four of the last five meetings, but the model leans under 49.5 points. It says the under hits in 69% of simulations.
- Ohio favored by 2.5 points
- Miami (OH) is 6-2 against the spread this season
- Under 49.5 points has a 69% probability
Expert Analysis and Predictions
SportsLine’s computer model and their crew of college football folks have crunched the numbers for these matchups. Their model’s been pretty hot, racking up over $2,000 in profit for $100 bettors on top-rated college football spread picks.
Here’s what they’re recommending for Tuesday night.
Top Picks for Tuesday Night
If you’re the parlay type, combining the model’s three picks could get spicy. Here are the bets they like:
- Miami (OH) +2.5 vs. Ohio at -105
- Under 49.5 points in Ohio vs. Miami (OH) at -110
- UMass money line vs. Akron at +295
Roll these together and you’re looking at a +1246 payout. A $100 bet could net you $1246. Not for the faint of heart, but sometimes you’ve got to swing big.
Why These Picks Make Sense
Backing these picks up, there’s data and some real trends in play. Miami (OH) has been rock-solid in conference play. Their track record against the spread is impressive, too.
The under 49.5 in Ohio vs. Miami (OH) is supported by recent history. Two of the last three seasons, they haven’t cracked 50 points.
As for UMass, their money line’s got value thanks to that 2019 win over Akron and, maybe, a shot at an upset. Sometimes you just have to trust your gut—or the numbers.
Historical Performance and Trends
Miami (OH) has really thrived in MAC play under coach Chuck Martin. They’re 51-20 since 2016, and 18-2 since 2023. That’s not nothing.
The under in Ohio vs. Miami (OH) also looks good—only one of the last three seasons has gone over that total. And UMass, for all their struggles, has proven they can hang with Akron.
- Miami (OH) is 51-20 in MAC play since 2016
- Under 49.5 points in Ohio vs. Miami (OH) game
- UMass won their last matchup against Akron in 2019
Where to Place Your Bets
If you’re looking to get in on the action, several sportsbooks have decent promos right now. DraftKings Sportsbook’s giving new users three free months of NBA League Pass and $300 in bonus bets with a winning $5 wager.
FanDuel’s got $150 in bonus bets with a winning $5 bet. Caesars Sportsbook is offering double winnings on 20 bets after your first $1 wager as a new user.
With these promos, there’s a little extra juice for bettors. Before you lock in your Week 11 picks, maybe check out SportsLine’s advanced model and their experts’ top college football bets. Couldn’t hurt, right?
Conclusion
Week 11 of the 2025 college football season is shaping up to be a wild ride. There are two MAC matchups on the schedule that should be a lot of fun.
Maybe you’re eyeing the spread, total points, or just rolling the dice on the money line. Either way, there are some interesting chances to make a smart bet or two.
If you’re leaning on expert analysis or just gut feeling, you might find some value in the latest picks. It’s probably wise to stick with sportsbooks that have solid reputations and maybe even some decent promos for new users.
Curious for more? Check out a deeper dive and more betting picks at CBS Sports.
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