The TCU Horned Frogs are set to face off against the BYU Cougars in Provo, Utah. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. EST on ESPN, and people are buzzing about this matchup.
BYU is favored by 3.5 points, with a moneyline of -165. The total points line sits at 51.5.
Fans and bettors alike are watching closely. Let’s dig into what makes this game so intriguing.
Matchup Overview: TCU Horned Frogs vs. BYU Cougars
Both teams are at a crossroads. TCU just dropped a tough one to Iowa State and needs a rebound.
BYU, meanwhile, is hoping to keep their momentum rolling at home. That Utah altitude can’t hurt either.
Betting Odds and Predictions
Latest odds have BYU favored by 3.5. But some experts, like those at the Action Network, seem to think TCU could cover.
The Frogs are listed at +3.5 with a moneyline of +135. This one feels pretty close, so here are a few things to mull over before betting:
- TCU’s Recent Performance: TCU looked like they might snag a win against Iowa State, but a punt return touchdown and turnovers cost them. Their overall play hints at a team that’s due for a little luck.
- BYU’s Defensive Challenges: BYU’s rush attack didn’t get much going against Texas Tech’s front last week. TCU’s defense isn’t quite that level, but they’re solid tacklers—sixth in the nation for broken tackles allowed, which says something.
- Key Players to Watch: TCU’s Josh Hoover gets another crack at a 3-3-5 stack defense, which he just saw eight days ago. For BYU, Bear Bachmeier and LJ Martin need to figure out TCU’s inside-zone defense if they want to move the ball.
Expert Analysis: Why TCU Could Cover the Spread
Collin from the Action Network points out that TCU probably should’ve beaten Iowa State. The Frogs’ defense only gave up one red-zone trip, so the loss was more about offense sputtering than anything else.
With Hoover getting more comfortable against these defensive looks, TCU’s offense could look sharper this week. That’s a big deal in a game this tight.
TCU’s Defensive Strengths
TCU’s tackling stands out—they’re sixth nationally in broken tackles allowed. That’s not just a stat, it’s a real weapon.
BYU leans on inside-zone runs, so if TCU can bottle that up, their chances go way up. Maybe they even pull off the upset.
BYU’s Offensive Challenges
BYU’s offense had a rough go against Texas Tech’s defensive line. Now they have to deal with TCU’s disciplined tackling and smart defensive schemes.
The Cougars will need to get creative to find openings. If they can’t, it could be a long night for their offense.
Historical Context and Head-to-Head Matchups
These two have had their share of tight games. Sure, history doesn’t decide the outcome, but it’s worth knowing TCU tends to bounce back after tough losses.
That kind of resilience will get tested again here. BYU’s no pushover, especially at home.
Power Ratings and Predictive Analytics
Collin’s PRO projections at Action Network lean on power ratings and analytics. By those numbers, TCU actually rates higher than BYU.
That might mean the current spread isn’t giving the Frogs enough credit. Analytics don’t always tell the whole story, but they’re a piece of the puzzle.
Key Betting Tips
- Bet on TCU to Cover: With the spread at +3.5, TCU looks like a pretty solid value play. Their defense has shown real grit, and there’s a sense their offense could step up.
- Consider the Moneyline: If you’re feeling bold, TCU’s moneyline at +135 might catch your eye. It’s riskier, sure, but the payout could be worth the gamble.
- Monitor Key Player Performances: Keep tabs on Josh Hoover and how well TCU tackles. These details could end up deciding the whole game.
Want to dig deeper or check the latest odds? Head over to the Action Network. Their coverage is thorough, and you’ll find plenty of expert takes to help you sort through your options.
- Schools Covered
- College Football Articles
- Men's College Basketball Articles
- Men's College Soccer Articles
- Women's College Basketball Articles
- Olympic Athlete Articles
- Men's College Baseball Articles
- College Sports Media Professionals Articles
- Hall of Fame Member Articles
- Former College Player Articles
- Game Previews
