Week 13 College Football Picks: Texas vs. Arkansas Odds and Predictions

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Week 13 brings a highly anticipated showdown as the Texas Longhorns take on the Arkansas Razorbacks. This game could be a turning point for both teams.

Texas is fighting to keep its College Football Playoff hopes alive. Arkansas, meanwhile, is hoping to snap an eight-game losing streak.

The Longhorns are currently ranked No. 17 in the College Football Playoff rankings. Oddsmakers have Texas as 8.5-point favorites, but Arkansas has shown flashes of grit in SEC matchups, even with all those losses.

Let’s dig into what’s at stake and what to expect from this matchup.

Game Overview

Arch Manning leads the Texas Longhorns, who are coming off a tough loss to Georgia—their third defeat this season. Even after that, they’re still in the playoff conversation.

If Texas can beat Arkansas and then pull off an upset over Texas A&M, their postseason chances would really brighten. Arkansas, led by Taylen Green, has struggled all year but keeps games closer than you’d expect.

With 11 Arkansas players ruled out, the odds aren’t great for them. Still, you get the sense they won’t just roll over.

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Key Players to Watch

All eyes will be on Arch Manning for Texas. He’s been a huge part of their offense.

Missing linebacker Anthony Hill Jr. might shake up Texas’s defense, though. For Arkansas, Taylen Green is the guy to watch—if he gets hot, maybe they have a shot at ending the skid.

Betting Insights

Texas is favored by 8.5 points, and the over/under sits at 58. The SportsLine Projection Model runs 10,000 simulations for every FBS game and expects this one to go under.

The model projects a total of 52 points, with the under hitting nearly 70% of the time. That’s a pretty strong lean.

Why the Under Might Hit

Both teams are coming off games that finished under the total. Texas has gone under in six out of ten games this season, so there’s a pattern there.

Arkansas is missing a bunch of key players, which could really limit their offense. That probably means fewer points on the board.

Historical Context

Texas and Arkansas have a rivalry that stretches back decades. Texas usually comes out on top, but Arkansas has pulled off some stunners over the years.

This matchup just adds another chapter to a pretty wild history between these two. Should be a fun one for college football diehards.

Previous Encounters

Last time they played, Texas won—but Arkansas didn’t make it easy. That kind of history adds a bit of unpredictability to this game, doesn’t it?

How to Watch

The game will be broadcast live from Austin, Texas. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET.

You can stream it on Fubo, and there’s a free trial for new users if you want to check it out.

Additional Resources

Looking for sharper betting decisions? The SportsLine Projection Model might be worth a look—it’s packed with insights that can help you out.

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Want to dive deeper? There’s more analysis and predictions over at CBS Sports. They’ve got the details, if you’re into that sort of thing.

Joe Hughes
Joe Hughes is the founder of CollegeNetWorth.com, a comprehensive resource on college athletes' earnings potential in the NIL era. Combining his passion for sports with expertise in collegiate athletics, Joe provides valuable insights for athletes, fans, and institutions navigating this new landscape.

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