College Football Playoff 2025: First-Round Matchup Predictions and Analysis

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The 2025 college football season has been nothing short of exhilarating. As we head into the playoffs, the excitement is palpable.

With a compelling mix of powerhouse programs and underdog stories, the first-round matchups promise to deliver unforgettable moments. This blog post dives into each of the four first-round games, offering a blend of analysis and predictions for what might unfold.

If you want a more detailed breakdown of each matchup, check out the original article.

Oklahoma vs. Alabama: A Rematch with High Stakes

Oklahoma and Alabama are set to face off once again. This first-round matchup’s got plenty of intrigue, especially since the Sooners upset the Crimson Tide earlier this season.

Can they do it again? That’s the big question.

Key Takeaways from Their First Encounter

Alabama actually outgained Oklahoma in total yards (406 to 212) and first downs (23 to 12). But turnovers doomed Alabama—three giveaways led to 17 points for the Sooners, who didn’t cough up the ball at all.

Oklahoma’s Defensive Prowess

Oklahoma’s defense, led by Brent Venables, has been nothing short of impressive. They’re first in the SEC in points allowed per game (13.9) and yards allowed per game (273.6).

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The offense, though, has been shaky. Quarterback John Mateer’s stat line—12 touchdowns and 10 picks—doesn’t exactly inspire confidence.

Alabama’s Offensive Strengths

Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson has put together a strong season: 26 touchdown passes and only five interceptions. The running game is another story, though—they’re 14th in the SEC for a reason.

Prediction: Alabama 27, Oklahoma 17

Miami vs. Texas A&M: A Battle of Resilience

Both Miami and Texas A&M have had their ups and downs. Miami kicked things off hot but stumbled in the middle, while Texas A&M cruised through much of the SEC but showed some cracks late.

Miami’s Rollercoaster Season

The Hurricanes looked unbeatable early on. Then came losses to Louisville and SMU—ouch.

Quarterback Carson Beck has been up and down, tossing more than half of his 10 interceptions in just those two games.

Texas A&M’s Path to the Playoffs

Texas A&M benefited from a pretty soft SEC slate, facing several teams that just didn’t have it this year. Their only real challenge was Texas, and they lost that one 27-17.

Quarterback Marcel Reed has been steady but not exactly lighting it up. The Aggies’ late-season struggles make you wonder if they’re really ready for the spotlight.

Prediction: Texas A&M 31, Miami 28

Ole Miss vs. Tulane: Coaching Changes and Uncertainty

Both Ole Miss and Tulane come into the playoffs with new head coaches. That alone makes this matchup more unpredictable than most.

Ole Miss has had a strong season, but can they keep it rolling without Lane Kiffin on the sideline?

Ole Miss’s Coaching Turmoil

Lane Kiffin’s move to LSU threw Ole Miss into a bit of chaos. Defensive coordinator Pete Golding is now the interim head coach.

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Offensive coordinator Charlie Weis Jr. is sticking around for the playoff, but he’s heading to LSU too. Not exactly a recipe for stability.

Tulane’s Steady Hand

Tulane’s coach Jon Sumrall is also leaving, but he’s agreed to stay through the playoff run. Quarterback Jake Retzlaff has been a bright spot, racking up nearly 3,500 total yards and leading the Green Wave to an 11-2 record.

Prediction: Ole Miss 34, Tulane 20

Oregon vs. James Madison: A Lopsided Affair?

James Madison making the playoffs is a testament to the ACC’s wild season. Oregon, meanwhile, has looked like one of the most balanced teams in the Big Ten.

This one feels pretty lopsided on paper. The Ducks have the edge in just about every category.

Oregon’s Balanced Attack

Oregon’s offense is third in the Big Ten (465.2 yards per game), and their defense isn’t far behind, allowing just 14.8 points per game. Quarterback Dante Moore has turned heads all season and looks like a future first-round NFL pick.

James Madison’s Cinderella Story

The Dukes have had an impressive season. Their only Power-Four opponent was Louisville, where they lost 28-14.

This lack of high-level competition could be their undoing. Oregon’s looking pretty robust this year.

Prediction: Oregon 49, James Madison 12

For more detailed predictions and analysis, check out the original article.

Joe Hughes
Joe Hughes is the founder of CollegeNetWorth.com, a comprehensive resource on college athletes' earnings potential in the NIL era. Combining his passion for sports with expertise in collegiate athletics, Joe provides valuable insights for athletes, fans, and institutions navigating this new landscape.

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