Florida vs LSU Week 3 Predictions: Odds, Picks, Who Wins?

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As the Florida Gators get ready to open their Southeastern Conference (SEC) play this week, they’re staring down a tough opponent: the No. 4 ranked LSU Tigers. The game kicks off Saturday, September 13, at 7:30 p.m. EST in Tiger Stadium, and it’ll be broadcast on ABC.

Florida sits at 1-1 and is trying to shake off an 18-16 upset loss to South Florida. Meanwhile, LSU’s riding high at 2-0 after a 23-7 win over Louisiana Tech.

This matchup? It’s got high stakes and the kind of intensity you only get in SEC football. Both teams have plenty to prove, and honestly, it’s hard to predict which way it’ll go.

Game Overview: Florida vs. LSU

When Florida and LSU face off, it’s always a big deal. This season’s no different.

The Gators, led by quarterback DJ Lagway, are hoping to rebound after that rough loss. LSU’s got Garrett Nussmeier at the helm, and they’re looking to keep their perfect record and tough defense intact.

Key Players to Watch

For Florida, DJ Lagway stands out. He’s thrown for 342 yards, four touchdowns, and just one interception, with a completion rate of 74%.

On defense, Myles Graham leads with 13 total tackles. These two are going to have to step up if Florida wants a shot at the win.

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LSU’s offense is run by Garrett Nussmeier. He’s already put up 469 passing yards, two touchdowns, and one interception this season.

Defensively, the Tigers have been tough—only 17 points allowed across their first two games. They’re holding opponents to an average of 207.5 yards per game and just 3.7 yards per play.

Predictions and Betting Odds

According to the Gainesville Sun, LSU’s coming in as the clear favorite. Here’s where the BetMGM Sportsbook odds stood on Wednesday afternoon:

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  • Spread: 7.5
  • Over/Under: 48.5
  • Moneyline: (-295) LSU, (+230) Florida

And here’s what the experts are saying:

  • Andrew Abadie: LSU 28, Florida 20
  • Kevin Brockway: LSU 24, Florida 16
  • Noah Ram: LSU 24, Florida 17

Challenges for Florida

Florida’s biggest hurdle? The offense, especially in the red zone. They’ve got to turn those chances into touchdowns—not just field goals.

Defensively, the Gators need to find a way to rattle Nussmeier and throw off LSU’s rhythm. That’s easier said than done, but it’s possible.

Florida’s Path to Victory

If the Gators are going to pull off an upset, a few things need to break their way:

  • Offensive Spark: DJ Lagway’s got to get things moving, using weapons like Vernell Brown III, Eugene Wilson III, and Jaden Baugh to make some big plays.
  • Defensive Stands: Myles Graham and the defense need to keep it close, giving the offense a shot to sneak out a win.
  • Minimizing Mistakes: Turnovers and penalties? Florida can’t afford many. Giving LSU extra chances is just asking for trouble.

LSU’s Strengths

LSU’s defense is the backbone of their team right now. They’ve given up just 17 points so far, and that’s not a fluke.

On offense, Nussmeier’s going to be the guy to watch. If he finds a weak spot in Florida’s defense, things could get out of hand fast.

Historical Context

Florida vs. LSU games are rarely boring. There’s always some wild moment or unexpected twist.

That history just adds more hype—and maybe a bit of nerves—for fans on both sides.

Coaching and Strategy

Florida’s head coach, Billy Napier, is feeling the heat. After that loss to South Florida, people are watching his play-calling and decisions closely.

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LSU’s staff, on the other hand, will want to stick to what’s working: tough defense and an efficient offense. It’s a formula that’s hard to argue with so far.

Conclusion

The Gators and Tigers are about to face off, and honestly, the stakes feel sky-high. Florida’s looking for a bit of redemption in SEC play.

LSU, on the other hand, wants to hang onto their top-five ranking and keep that winning streak alive. It’s shaping up to be a pretty intense matchup—both sides have a lot to prove.

If you’re after more predictions or want to dig into the details, you might check out the Gainesville Sun.

Joe Hughes
Joe Hughes is the founder of CollegeNetWorth.com, a comprehensive resource on college athletes' earnings potential in the NIL era. Combining his passion for sports with expertise in collegiate athletics, Joe provides valuable insights for athletes, fans, and institutions navigating this new landscape.

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