TCU vs Arizona State: Predictions, Picks, Odds for Week 5 Game

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The Arizona State Sun Devils are gearing up to take on the TCU Horned Frogs in what’s shaping up to be a pretty intriguing Big 12 college football Week 5 showdown. This one’s set for Friday, Sept. 26, at ASU football’s Mountain America Stadium, and it’s already got fans and analysts buzzing.

Both teams are hungry to make a statement in the Big 12. Stakes feel high, and honestly, nobody seems to agree on how this will play out.

Game Overview: Arizona State vs. TCU

Arizona State and TCU are facing each other for the first time as Big 12 rivals. There’s a lot riding on this one, with both squads hoping to climb up the conference standings.

The Sun Devils are coming off a confidence-boosting win against Baylor. Playing at home in Mountain America Stadium has to help, right?

Kickoff Details

Kickoff’s locked in for 6 p.m. MST, and FOX is handling the broadcast. If you’re more of a streamer, FUBO has it live, and they’re even offering a free trial for newcomers.

Predictions and Picks

The Arizona Republic’s calling a 31-24 win for the Sun Devils. Jeremy Cluff thinks Arizona State has found some of its old spark, especially at home, and points to Sam Leavitt as the guy to watch.

Dimers.com Prediction

Dimers.com isn’t far off but sees it as a 29-25 win for Arizona State. It’s a tight call, honestly—could go either way.

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Other Expert Opinions

Sports Betting Dime is leaning TCU, picking them to win by seven. Bookies.com also likes TCU with the points, so there’s some confidence there. The Sporting News? They’re expecting a nail-biter, with TCU squeaking past Arizona State 31-30.

Odds and Win Probabilities

BetMGM Sportsbook has Arizona State as a 2.5-point favorite. The Sun Devils are at -135 on the moneyline, and TCU’s at +110.

The over/under is set at 54.5 points, so maybe we’ll see some fireworks.

ESPN’s Win Probability

ESPN’s win probability metric gives TCU a slight edge—50.6% to Arizona State’s 49.4%. It’s almost a coin flip, which makes this match-up even more interesting.

Key Players to Watch

Sam Leavitt for Arizona State is getting a lot of attention. He’s been in good form lately and could really swing things for the Sun Devils.

For TCU, their defense is under the spotlight. They’ll have to find a way to slow down Leavitt and the rest of the Arizona State offense.

Arizona State’s Strengths

  • Home-field advantage at Mountain America Stadium
  • Recent win against Baylor boosting team morale
  • Sam Leavitt’s form as a key offensive player

TCU’s Strengths

  • Strong defensive unit capable of containing explosive offenses
  • Expert predictions favoring TCU to cover the spread
  • Close win probability metrics indicating a competitive edge

The Arizona State vs. TCU game is shaping up to be a real showdown. Both teams have reasons to feel optimistic about their chances.

Arizona State gets to play at home, which always helps. Their recent win probably gives them a little extra swagger, too.

On the other side, TCU brings a tough defense and, apparently, the experts are leaning their way. It’s hard not to wonder if that will make a difference on the field.

Fans and bettors are buzzing, waiting to see which team actually sticks to their plan and pulls it off. Honestly, it could go either way—there’s a lot riding on those little moments.

Want a deeper dive? You can check out the full breakdown on azcentral.com. This Big 12 matchup could end up being one of those games people talk about for a while.

Joe Hughes
Joe Hughes is the founder of CollegeNetWorth.com, a comprehensive resource on college athletes' earnings potential in the NIL era. Combining his passion for sports with expertise in collegiate athletics, Joe provides valuable insights for athletes, fans, and institutions navigating this new landscape.

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